Results So Far in the Primaries
This table shows the state-by-state results for all of the primaries and caucuses that have taken place so far this year. To win the primary nomination, the Republican candidate needs to win 1,237 delegates. Currently (as of March 15, before the day's results are all in) Donald Trump is in the lead with 469. In second is Ted Cruz, who has won 369 delegates. Then there's Marco Rubio and John Kasich with 163 and 63, respectively. The Democratic presidential nominee will need to win 2,383 delegates. Hilary Clinton is closer to that goal than Bernie Sanders; she's won 768 delegates, while Bernie's only won 554. Considering the results so far, do you think the Republican and Democratic presidential nominees are already set? If not, who do you think still has a chance at either nomination, and why? What do you expect to happen in the remaining primaries?
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If I were to bet on it, I would bet on Trump and Clinton to win their parties. However, a large portion of delegates remain, and a brokered Republican convention is not impossible. If that did happen, I don't think Trump would win, even if he went in with the most delegates (but not the majority). Sanders could also make a late comeback against Clinton, and if he pulled ahead in the popular vote, super delegates might pledge to him. There are many different things that could still happen at this point in the race and I really don't know how it will actually turn out.
ReplyDeleteI think unfortunately we need to start preparing ourself for Trump as a likely Republican president. However, it is possible for the GOP to further slander Trump, forcing him to run away to an independent party campaign. I think it's likely for Hillary to grasp the Democratic nomination but Bernie is catching up by a slightly larger margin. Like Ryan said, it's difficult to say how these primaries will end up. So far, we've learned that we can't predict anything, really.
ReplyDeleteWhile it does seem like Trump and Clinton have pulled ahead, I wouldn't put my money on them quite yet. Trump has gathered a lot of support, but there still seems to be a large number of republicans who don't support him. I feel that it's still in the realm of possibility for Cruz to gain the lead. This will depend on how the remainder of republicans yet to vote feel about Trump. This appears to be the same case with Clinton. She may have the lead, but the gap is not too distinct that Sanders would have no possibility of gaining a lead. Again, it seems that the race is left to the remainder of the voters.
ReplyDeleteI do not believe that Sanders will be able to overtake Clinton in delegate count, even though he has been winning recently. Political analysts have said it would take a miracle for him to win given the current standings, and he hasn't been winning by large enough margins. While I hope (or hoped) for different results, it seems that Clinton and Trump will be the nominees. The matchup will provide us with the least inspiring presidential race I can think of, alienating Americans on both sides. However, I hope for different outcomes in the primaries than the trends suggest.
ReplyDeleteAs for the democrats, the shift in the region and demographic may change the result but I believe that it is still locked in for Clinton. For the republican's however there is a chance that Cruz can overtake, not through the votes, but the delegates. His campaign has been coming around to the states after or before the primaries and sweeping up as many votes as he can based on the rules and regulations of the process. So while Trump may win the most States Cruz could win enough delegates to cause a Brokered Convention, and although he has openly said he doesn't want this, it would almost automatically assure him the nomination.
ReplyDeleteAs for the democrats, the shift in the region and demographic may change the result but I believe that it is still locked in for Clinton. For the republican's however there is a chance that Cruz can overtake, not through the votes, but the delegates. His campaign has been coming around to the states after or before the primaries and sweeping up as many votes as he can based on the rules and regulations of the process. So while Trump may win the most States Cruz could win enough delegates to cause a Brokered Convention, and although he has openly said he doesn't want this, it would almost automatically assure him the nomination.
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